UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
New York City, USA
3 Nov 2018
Welterweight
VS
57%
Good
43%
Saunders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Good
This is a genuine toss-up — Good at 57% vs Saunders at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Good throws more volume but Saunders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Good
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+77"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Good
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
15.6
53.0
Performance Avg
46.4
55
Quality of Victory
46
59
Momentum Score
50
Good
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
55%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
2
Body
10
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
9Clinch7
3Ground0
Good
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Good
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
0
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Good
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
50
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Good
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Good
Saunders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
GoodSaunders
Strike Zones
Good
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSaunders
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Good targets the head (71% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the body (83% of attacks) — Good absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Good
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Good · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Good · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Chance RencountreRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R1
Demian MaiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06