UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
42%
Whittaker
58%
Chimaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:34
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Khamzat
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
15 – 1
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chimaev

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 42% vs Chimaev at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chimaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Whittaker
Chimaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Chimaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
73.2
56.0
Performance Avg
65.1
46
Quality of Victory
49
71
Momentum Score
100
Whittaker
Chimaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Whittaker
Chimaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Chimaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Whittaker
Chimaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Whittaker
Chimaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
11
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Chimaev
Striking5.0 / 4.0Volume6.6 / 4.5Grappling1.6 / 4.4Wrestling1.1 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 4.4Pressure4.6 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Chimaev
Whittaker
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Chimaev
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Chimaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Chimaev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Chimaev
0/0R00/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Chimaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.0W6.1W5.8W4.7W5.6W5.6W5.9W6.4W6.6L2020-072021-102023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Chimaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Khamzat Chimaev
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