Robert Whittaker vs Khamzat Chimaev — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

26 Oct 2024

Middleweight

42%

Whittaker

58%

Chimaev

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 3:34

Robert Whittaker

"The Reaper"

27 – 9

6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 54

Khamzat Chimaev

"Borz"

15 – 1

Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"

CFR 73

★ Official Result

Khamzat ChimaevwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:34

def. Robert Whittaker · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Chimaev

→

Actual result

Chimaev wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 42% vs Chimaev at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

WhittakerChimaev

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Whittaker

Chimaev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'2"

73"

Reach

+75"

Age

+32

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Whittaker

Chimaev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

54.0

73.2

56.6

Performance Avg

65.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Whittaker

Chimaev

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

4.0

/ 10

4.9

Style: Pressure

7.4

6.3

Style: Volume

4.5

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance0

0Clinch0

0Ground3

Whittaker

Chimaev

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.5

/ 10

4.4

/ 10

1.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.0

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Whittaker

Chimaev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.7 stoppage

KO round context

—

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

25/36 fights

Chin rating based on

10/16 fights

Whittaker

Chimaev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Whittaker

Chimaev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

39%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker

Chimaev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.0

1.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.4

1.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.4

4.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.4

6.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.5

Whittaker

Strike Zones

Chimaev

Whittaker

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Chimaev

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Whittaker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Chimaev absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Chimaev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker

RND

Chimaev

0/0R00/0

Whittaker · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Nikita Krylov

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Reinier de Ridder

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

L · Sub · R1

Khamzat Chimaev

Submission

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

W · KO · R1

Ikram Aliskerov

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

W · Dec · R3

Paulo Costa

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Chimaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Sub · R1

Robert Whittaker

Submission

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

W · Dec · R3

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

W · Sub · R1

Kevin Holland

Submission

UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Khamzat Chimaev

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