UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Women's Featherweight
VS
87%
Anderson
13%
Fairn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anderson
Anderson is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anderson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 71 points.
Striking split: Fairn throws more volume but Anderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fairn has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anderson
Fairn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
72"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Fairn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
3.7
62.8
Performance Avg
0.0
71
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Anderson
Fairn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
33%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Anderson
Fairn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anderson
Fairn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Anderson
Fairn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Anderson
Fairn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anderson
Fairn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndersonFairn
Strike Zones
Anderson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedFairn
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fairn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fairn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anderson
RND
Fairn
0/0R00/0
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Fairn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Anderson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Norma DumontRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · Sub · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Sub · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
Fairn · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10