UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Paris, France
3 Sept 2022
Middleweight
VS
52%
Whittaker
48%
Vettori
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Whittaker

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 52% vs Vettori at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Whittaker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Vettori has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Whittaker
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Whittaker
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
50.2
56.0
Performance Avg
40.0
46
Quality of Victory
31
71
Momentum Score
84
Whittaker
Vettori
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
2
Body
1
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance9
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Whittaker
Vettori
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Whittaker
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Whittaker
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
22%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Vettori
Striking5.0 / 1.1Volume6.6 / 7.3Grappling1.6 / 3.6Wrestling1.1 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure4.6 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Vettori
Whittaker
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY8LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Vettori
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY8LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (63% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (56% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Marvin Vettori
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