UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Martins
12%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martins
Martins is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: Hernandez throws more volume but Martins connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Martins's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martins
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martins
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
2.4
49.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Martins
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
29%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Martins
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martins
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Martins
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Martins
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martins
Hernandez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MartinsHernandez
Strike Zones
Martins
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHernandez
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martins targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martins
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Martins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Martins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhitefordRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Mirsad BekticRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · KO · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Ramiro HernandezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
Hernandez · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Hugo VianaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Lucas MartinsRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09