UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Flyweight
VS
93%
Benoit
7%
Mokhtarian
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Benoit
Benoit is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Benoit has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Benoit throws more volume but Mokhtarian connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benoit's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.6
2.1
39.3
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance8
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benoit
Mokhtarian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BenoitMokhtarian
Strike Zones
Benoit
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMokhtarian
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benoit targets the head (92% of attacks) — Mokhtarian absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Mokhtarian targets the head (50% of attacks) — Benoit absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benoit
RND
Mokhtarian
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Benoit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Mokhtarian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Benoit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zarrukh AdashevRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
W · KO · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
Mokhtarian · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Ryan BenoitRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06