UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Featherweight
VS
75%
Skelly
25%
Alers
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
CS
Chas Skelly
"The Scrapper"
19 – 3
5'11"72" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 34
JA
Jim Alers
"The Beast"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Skelly

Skelly is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Skelly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Alers has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Skelly
Alers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Skelly
Alers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.0
11.3
56.6
Performance Avg
28.3
46
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
40
Skelly
Alers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
13
2
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
12Distance17
10Clinch2
0Ground0
Skelly
Alers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Skelly
Alers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Skelly
Alers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
40
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Skelly
Alers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Skelly
Alers
Striking4.0 / 0.7Volume3.5 / 8.7Grappling4.6 / 2.4Wrestling3.2 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Skelly
Strike Zones
Alers
Skelly
Attacking
20HEAD2BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY6LEGS19 absorbed
Alers
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY6LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD2BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Skelly targets the head (91% of attacks) — Alers absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Alers targets the head (68% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Skelly
RND
Alers
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Skelly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.0L5.0W5.2W4.0L4.5W5.2W2014-042015-022016-092019-092022-02
WinLossTrend

Alers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W2.8L5.5L2014-042015-022016-07
WinLossTrend

Skelly · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby Moffett
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

Alers · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Upcoming
Cole Miller
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Alan OmerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04

News & Media

Chas Skelly · Jim Alers
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