UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
Las Vegas, USA
8 May 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
65%
Rodriguez
35%
Waterson-Gomez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Michelle
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Waterson-Gomez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Waterson-Gomez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Waterson-Gomez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
26.5
41.7
Performance Avg
36.8
34
Quality of Victory
35
83
Momentum Score
0
Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
10
Body
7
9
Leg
5
RangeRange
31Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/31 fights
Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Waterson-Gomez
Striking3.9 / 0.8Volume6.8 / 6.1Grappling1.7 / 4.3Wrestling1.2 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure3.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Rodriguez
Attacking
13HEAD10BODY9LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD7BODY5LEGS22 absorbed
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
10HEAD7BODY5LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD10BODY9LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (41% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the head (45% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Waterson-Gomez
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Waterson-Gomez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.0W4.2L6.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.8L4.6W6.2L3.8L5.5L3.4L6.7L2015-072018-042020-052023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Waterson-Gomez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Michelle Waterson-Gomez
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