UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Welterweight
VS
54%
Fitch
46%
Hendricks
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:12
JF
Jon Fitch
30 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'9"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fitch

This is a genuine toss-up — Fitch at 54% vs Hendricks at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hendricks has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Fitch
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
69"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fitch
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
17.8
52.4
Performance Avg
48.2
32
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
80
Fitch
Hendricks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Fitch
Hendricks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
24
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
21/26 fights
Fitch
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
39%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fitch
Hendricks
Striking2.4 / 5.1Volume7.4 / 6.2Grappling3.4 / 1.5Wrestling2.4 / 1.0Submission2.1 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Fitch
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Fitch
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Hendricks
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fitch
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Fitch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L2005-102007-062009-072012-102013-02
WinLossTrend

Hendricks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.8W5.8L4.9W2.1L5.8L6.1L4.5W2.8L3.8L2009-082011-082014-032017-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Fitch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ Penn
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

News & Media

Jon Fitch · Johny Hendricks
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