METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Nurmagomedov
42%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jonathan MartinezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Said Nurmagomedov · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Martinez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 58% vs Martinez at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Martinez throws more volume but Nurmagomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurmagomedovMartinez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
46.0
53.5
Performance Avg
48.3
47
Quality of Victory
36
87
Momentum Score
63
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
1
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance6
0Clinch4
3Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
NurmagomedovMartinez
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (80% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Muin GafurovRating 5Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Martinez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10