UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Nurmagomedov
42%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Said
Said Nurmagomedov
18 – 5
5'8"70" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Jonathan
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nurmagomedov

This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 58% vs Martinez at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Martinez throws more volume but Nurmagomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
46.0
53.5
Performance Avg
48.3
47
Quality of Victory
36
87
Momentum Score
63
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
1
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance6
0Clinch4
3Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov
Martinez
Striking4.1 / 5.3Volume3.6 / 6.1Grappling4.1 / 1.4Wrestling2.9 / 1.0Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Nurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Martinez
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY5LEGS10 absorbed
Martinez
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY5LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (80% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0

Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W5.1W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.7W5.6W6.0L5.0W6.5L6.5L2018-072020-102022-122025-022025-07
WinLossTrend

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W3.6L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.8W5.9W6.7W6.0L7.2L2018-102020-082022-022023-102024-11
WinLossTrend

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Muin GafurovRating 5
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

Martinez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

News & Media

Said Nurmagomedov · Jonathan Martinez
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