UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Cejudo
49%
Yadong
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Henry
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
16 – 6
5'4"64" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Song
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
22 – 9
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cejudo

This is a genuine toss-up — Cejudo at 51% vs Yadong at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Yadong throws more volume but Cejudo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cejudo
Yadong
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+67"
39
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cejudo
Yadong
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.7
61.9
57.5
Performance Avg
54.6
54
Quality of Victory
42
97
Momentum Score
83
Cejudo
Yadong
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
23
6
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cejudo
Yadong
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cejudo
Yadong
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
Cejudo
Yadong
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Cejudo
Yadong
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cejudo
Yadong
Striking5.3 / 6.0Volume6.0 / 5.1Grappling1.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure4.7 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Cejudo
Strike Zones
Yadong
Cejudo
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY3LEGS30 absorbed
Yadong
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY3LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (76% of attacks) — Yadong absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Yadong targets the head (77% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cejudo
RND
Yadong
0/0R00/0

Cejudo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.1W6.5L6.8L6.1L7.0L2014-122016-042018-082023-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Yadong · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.3W6.2L4.5W6.0W5.0W6.6L6.2W5.0W7.0L5.7W7.0L2017-112020-052022-032024-032026-01
WinLossTrend

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

Yadong · Last 5

Upcoming
Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R5
Chris GutierrezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

News & Media

Henry Cejudo · Song Yadong
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