UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
San Diego, USA
13 Aug 2022
Heavyweight
VS
72%
Buday
28%
Brzeski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Martin
Martin Buday
"Badys"
16 – 2
6'4"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Lukasz
Lukasz Brzeski
"The Bull"
9 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Buday

Buday is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Brzeski throws more volume but Buday connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brzeski has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Buday
Brzeski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buday
Brzeski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
21.3
52.5
Performance Avg
20.7
29
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
30
Buday
Brzeski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
12
2
Body
20
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance34
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Buday
Brzeski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buday
Brzeski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
18
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Buday
Brzeski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
30
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Buday
Brzeski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buday
Brzeski
Striking1.8 / 0.3Volume8.6 / 8.3Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Buday
Strike Zones
Brzeski
Buday
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD20BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Brzeski
Attacking
12HEAD20BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buday targets the head (73% of attacks) — Brzeski absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Brzeski targets the body (59% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buday
RND
Brzeski
0/0R00/0

Buday · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W3.4L5.2W5.8W4.5W2022-042023-042023-122025-042025-07
WinLossTrend

Brzeski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0106.5L6.0L3.0L6.4W2.6L2.8L1.9L2022-082023-082024-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Buday · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcus BuchechaRating 4.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Uran SatybaldievRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

Brzeski · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Mick ParkinRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Valter WalkerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08

News & Media

Martin Buday · Lukasz Brzeski
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