METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Welterweight
VS
6%
Junior
94%
Means
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tim MeanswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marcio Alexandre Junior · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
→
Actual result
Means wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Means is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Means has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Means has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JuniorMeans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Junior
Means
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Junior
Means
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
36.5
0.0
Performance Avg
45.2
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
40
Junior
Means
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.3
0.0
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
1
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance14
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Junior
Means
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Junior
Means
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
6
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/50 fights
Junior
Means
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Junior
Means
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Junior
Means
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
JuniorMeans
Strike Zones
Junior
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMeans
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Junior targets the head (75% of attacks) — Means absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Means targets the head (44% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Junior
RND
Means
0/0R00/0
Junior · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R3
Warlley AlvesSubmission
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Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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