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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Welterweight
VS
49%
Brahimaj
51%
Vanderford
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:24
Ramiz
Ramiz Brahimaj
136
5'10"72" reachOrthodox33 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 57
Austin
Austin Vanderford
"The Gentleman"
133
Knockout Artist36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Ramiz BrahimajwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:24
def. Austin Vanderford · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vanderford
Actual result
Brahimaj wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Brahimaj at 49% vs Vanderford at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Brahimaj's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BrahimajVanderford
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.1
60.5
52.6
Performance Avg
53.0
54
Quality of Victory
55
59
Momentum Score
59
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
8.5
1.0
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
8Clinch0
4Ground0
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brahimaj
Vanderford
Striking3.0 / 10.0Volume1.0 / 1.0Grappling6.4 / 0.0Wrestling4.5 / 0.0Submission8.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Brahimaj
Strike Zones
Vanderford
Brahimaj
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Vanderford
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brahimaj targets the head (94% of attacks) — Vanderford absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Vanderford targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brahimaj absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brahimaj
RND
Vanderford
0/0R00/0

Brahimaj · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Neil Magny
KO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Punahele Soriano
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Austin Vanderford
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Billy Ray Goff
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Mickey Gall
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

Vanderford · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Ramiz Brahimaj
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Nikolay Veretennikov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

News & Media

Ramiz Brahimaj · Austin Vanderford
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