UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Welterweight
VS
52%
Brahimaj
48%
Vanderford
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brahimaj
This is a genuine toss-up — Brahimaj at 52% vs Vanderford at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Vanderford has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.2
60.5
54.8
Performance Avg
53.0
54
Quality of Victory
55
85
Momentum Score
59
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.1
59%
Strike Accuracy
71%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
8Clinch0
4Ground0
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
59
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brahimaj
Vanderford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BrahimajVanderford
Strike Zones
Brahimaj
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedVanderford
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brahimaj targets the head (94% of attacks) — Vanderford absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Vanderford targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brahimaj absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brahimaj
RND
Vanderford
0/0R00/0
Brahimaj · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Vanderford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brahimaj · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Austin VanderfordRating 6.5Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Billy Ray GoffRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Mickey GallRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
Vanderford · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Ramiz BrahimajRating 4.3Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

