METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
58%
Makdessi
42%
Patrick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan PatrickwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Patrick wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Makdessi at 58% vs Patrick at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Patrick has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiPatrick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Patrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+74"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Makdessi
Patrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
22.8
42.2
Performance Avg
41.4
34
Quality of Victory
32
51
Momentum Score
58
Makdessi
Patrick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
10
Body
1
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance15
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Makdessi
Patrick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Patrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Makdessi
Patrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Patrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Patrick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
MakdessiPatrick
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPatrick
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (48% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Patrick targets the head (72% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Patrick
0/0R00/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Patrick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Patrick · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
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Upcoming
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