METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
58%
Makdessi
42%
Patrick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan PatrickwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Patrick wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Makdessi at 58% vs Patrick at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Patrick has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiPatrick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Patrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+74"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Makdessi
Patrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
22.8
42.2
Performance Avg
41.4
34
Quality of Victory
32
51
Momentum Score
58
Makdessi
Patrick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
3.1
6.9
Style: Volume
7.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
10
Body
1
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance15
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Makdessi
Patrick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Patrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Makdessi
Patrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Patrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Patrick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
MakdessiPatrick
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPatrick
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (48% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Patrick targets the head (72% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Patrick
0/0R00/0
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