UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Welterweight
VS
49%
Larson
51%
Pyle
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pyle
This is a genuine toss-up — Larson at 49% vs Pyle at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pyle has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Larson
Pyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
48+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Larson
Pyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
19.5
46.6
Performance Avg
47.8
44
Quality of Victory
45
66
Momentum Score
100
Larson
Pyle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Larson
Pyle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Larson
Pyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/52 fights
Chin rating based on
19/41 fights
Larson
Pyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Larson
Pyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Larson
Pyle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
LarsonPyle
Strike Zones
Larson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPyle
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Larson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pyle targets the head (100% of attacks) — Larson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Larson
RND
Pyle
0/0R00/0
Larson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Larson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Brian FosterRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R1
Mike PyleRating 5Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Sub · R1
Jesse SandersRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
Pyle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05