Kevin Lee vs Al Iaquinta — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta

Milwaukee, USA

15 Dec 2018

Lightweight

58%

Lee

42%

Iaquinta

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Kevin Lee

"The Motown Phenom"

18 – 8

5'9"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 35

Al Iaquinta

"Raging"

14 – 7

Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"

CFR 26

★ Official Result

Al IaquintawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Kevin Lee · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Lee

→

Actual result

Iaquinta wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 58% vs Iaquinta at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Iaquinta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

LeeIaquinta

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Lee

Iaquinta

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+5'10"

77"+

Reach

70"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Lee

Iaquinta

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

35.2

25.8

48.3

Performance Avg

47.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Lee

Iaquinta

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

5.6

/ 10

5.6

Style: Pressure

4.9

4.1

Style: Volume

5.6

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

18Distance33

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Lee

Iaquinta

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.8

/ 10

1.3

/ 10

2.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.9

3.6

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Lee

Iaquinta

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

13 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/26 fights

Chin rating based on

15/21 fights

Lee

Iaquinta

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R4

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

Lee

Iaquinta

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

55%

44%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee

Iaquinta

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.6

3.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.3

2.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.9

3.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.9

4.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.6

Lee

Strike Zones

Iaquinta

Lee

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

33 absorbed

Iaquinta

Attacking

33 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lee targets the head (89% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 89% of strikes there

🎯Iaquinta targets the head (91% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee

RND

Iaquinta

0/0R00/0

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

L · Dec · R3

Daniel Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

L · Sub · R3

Charles Oliveira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

W · KO · R1

Gregor Gillespie

KO/TKO

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

L · Sub · R4

Rafael Dos Anjos

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1

King Green

KO/TKO

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

L · Dec · R3

Dan Hooker

Decision

UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10

L · Dec · R5

Donald Cerrone

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

W · Dec · R5

Kevin Lee

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

L · Dec · R5

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Decision

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Al Iaquinta

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