METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
47%
O'Neill
53%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Casey O'NeillwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Luana Santos · UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
O'Neill wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Neill at 47% vs Santos at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
O'NeillSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
O'Neill
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
28
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
O'Neill
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.5
67.3
56.5
Performance Avg
58.1
44
Quality of Victory
40
58
Momentum Score
100
O'Neill
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
6.1
4.2
Style: Volume
5.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
9
5
Body
2
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance13
0Clinch0
9Ground0
O'Neill
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Neill
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
O'Neill
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
O'Neill
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Neill
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
O'NeillSantos
Strike Zones
O'Neill
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSantos
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Neill targets the head (76% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (69% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Neill
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
O'Neill · Last 5
Upcoming
Eduarda MouraUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Santos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
Tainara LisboaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07