UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Moscow, Russia
15 Sept 2018
Lightweight
VS
55%
Khabilov
45%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RK
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
24 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
KJ
Kajan Johnson
"Ragin'"
23 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Khabilov

This is a genuine toss-up — Khabilov at 55% vs Johnson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Khabilov throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Johnson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Khabilov
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
+75"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Khabilov
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
16.1
48.2
Performance Avg
41.6
29
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
66
Khabilov
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
0
Body
1
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
1Distance15
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Khabilov
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Khabilov
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Khabilov
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Khabilov
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Khabilov
Johnson
Striking2.5 / 3.6Volume7.9 / 7.1Grappling1.9 / 1.8Wrestling1.3 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Khabilov
Strike Zones
Johnson
Khabilov
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Khabilov
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Khabilov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W4.5W3.4L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W2012-122015-022016-122019-11
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W3.5L5.5L2014-062015-092018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Khabilov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

News & Media

Rustam Khabilov · Kajan Johnson
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