UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Welterweight
VS
53%
Condit
47%
Woodley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:00
CC
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
32 – 14
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
TW
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19 – 7
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Condit

This is a genuine toss-up — Condit at 53% vs Woodley at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Condit throws more volume but Woodley connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Woodley has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Condit
Woodley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
Woodley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
19.4
47.8
Performance Avg
58.9
48
Quality of Victory
58
20
Momentum Score
40
Condit
Woodley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Condit
Woodley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Condit
Woodley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Condit
Woodley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
40
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Condit
Woodley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Condit
Woodley
Striking5.4 / 6.8Volume4.5 / 3.9Grappling1.1 / 1.7Wrestling0.8 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure4.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Condit
Strike Zones
Woodley
Condit
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Woodley
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (40% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Woodley targets the head (67% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Condit
RND
Woodley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Condit · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.4W2.8L4.1W5.8L1.5L6.1L2.8L3.5L4.7W4.9W6.1L2009-042012-022015-052018-122021-07
WinLossTrend

Woodley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.8W5.3W5.1W4.5W5.1W6.6L5.7L5.3L3.0L2013-022014-062017-032020-052021-03
WinLossTrend

Condit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

Woodley · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

News & Media

Carlos Condit · Tyron Woodley
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