METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 10: The Tournament
Birmingham, USA
12 Jul 1996
Open Weight
VS
93%
Coleman
7%
Horenstein
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
★ Official Result
Mark ColemanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:43
def. Moti Horenstein · UFC 10: The Tournament
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coleman
→
Actual result
Coleman wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Coleman is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Coleman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 62 points.
Risk flags
Coleman's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Horenstein has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ColemanHorenstein
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Coleman
Horenstein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
61+
Age
62
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Coleman
Horenstein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
1.6
60.5
Performance Avg
0.0
62
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Coleman
Horenstein
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.3
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Coleman
Horenstein
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coleman
Horenstein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Coleman
Horenstein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Coleman
Horenstein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Coleman
Horenstein
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ColemanHorenstein
Strike Zones
Coleman
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHorenstein
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Coleman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Horenstein absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Coleman
RND
Horenstein
0/0R00/0
Coleman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureSubmission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarDecision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaKO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoDecision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05
Horenstein · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Mark KerrKO/TKO
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
L · KO · R1
Mark ColemanKO/TKO
UFC 10: The Tournament · 1996-07