METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 10: The Tournament
Birmingham, USA
12 Jul 1996
Open Weight
VS
93%
Coleman
7%
Horenstein
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
★ Official Result
Mark ColemanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:43
def. Moti Horenstein · UFC 10: The Tournament
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coleman
→
Actual result
Coleman wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Coleman is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Coleman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 62 points.
Coleman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Coleman's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Horenstein has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ColemanHorenstein
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Coleman
Horenstein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
61+
Age
62
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Coleman
Horenstein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
1.6
60.5
Performance Avg
0.0
62
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Coleman
Horenstein
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.2
61%
Strike Accuracy
33%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Coleman
Horenstein
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coleman
Horenstein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Coleman
Horenstein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Coleman
Horenstein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Coleman
Horenstein
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ColemanHorenstein
Strike Zones
Coleman
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHorenstein
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Coleman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Horenstein absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Coleman
RND
Horenstein
0/0R00/0
Coleman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Horenstein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Coleman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5Decision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoRating 4.8Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05
Horenstein · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Mark KerrRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
L · KO · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 10: The Tournament · 1996-07