UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Middleweight
VS
54%
Marquardt
46%
McCrory
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:44
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
TM
Tamdan McCrory
"The Barncat"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSwitch76" reach6'4"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marquardt

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 54% vs McCrory at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McCrory has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
McCrory
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Marquardt
McCrory
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
14.3
48.6
Performance Avg
44.7
46
Quality of Victory
45
59
Momentum Score
20
Marquardt
McCrory
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
7
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance11
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Marquardt
McCrory
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
McCrory
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Marquardt
McCrory
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Marquardt
McCrory
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
McCrory
Striking5.7 / 3.4Volume3.5 / 2.9Grappling2.6 / 4.6Wrestling1.8 / 3.2Submission2.3 / 5.0Pressure6.4 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Marquardt
Strike Zones
McCrory
Marquardt
Attacking
5HEAD7BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
McCrory
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD7BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the body (58% of attacks) — McCrory absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯McCrory targets the head (36% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 36% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
McCrory
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

McCrory · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.2W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062008-112015-122016-10
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

McCrory · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Krzysztof JotkoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Sub · R3
Josh SammanRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan MadiganRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Tamdan McCrory
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