UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Las Vegas, USA
24 Aug 2024
Lightweight
VS
88%
Borshchev
12%
Llontop
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borshchev
Borshchev is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Borshchev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Striking split: Llontop throws more volume but Borshchev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Borshchev's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borshchev
Llontop
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borshchev
Llontop
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
6.0
41.3
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Borshchev
Llontop
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
3.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
43%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
19
8
Body
13
4
Leg
10
RangeRange
32Distance42
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Borshchev
Llontop
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borshchev
Llontop
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Borshchev
Llontop
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Borshchev
Llontop
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borshchev
Llontop
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BorshchevLlontop
Strike Zones
Borshchev
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedLlontop
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borshchev targets the head (64% of attacks) — Llontop absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Llontop targets the head (45% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borshchev
RND
Llontop
0/0R00/0
Borshchev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Llontop · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Borshchev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matheus CamiloRating 5.6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Chase HooperRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Llontop · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuffyRating 7.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Chris PadillaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04