UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Las Vegas, USA
31 May 2025
Flyweight
VS
47%
Filho
53%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jafel
Jafel Filho
"Pastor"
17 – 5
5'7"68" reachOrthodox33 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 57
Allan
Allan Nascimento
"Puro Osso"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nascimento

This is a genuine toss-up — Filho at 47% vs Nascimento at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Filho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Filho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Filho
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Filho
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
65.4
52.4
Performance Avg
55.0
54
Quality of Victory
38
46
Momentum Score
100
Filho
Nascimento
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Filho
Nascimento
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Filho
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Filho
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Filho
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Filho
Nascimento
Striking1.0 / 1.6Volume1.0 / 5.6Grappling8.0 / 5.2Wrestling5.6 / 3.6Submission10.0 / 5.0Pressure8.5 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Filho
Strike Zones
Nascimento
Filho
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Nascimento
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Filho targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (50% of attacks) — Filho absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Filho
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0

Filho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.4L5.0W5.8W7.0L5.9W5.6L2023-032023-072024-032025-052025-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Nascimento · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.6L5.2W5.0W5.6W5.4W2021-102022-052023-012025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Filho · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Allan NascimentoRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Sub · R1
Daniel BarezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Nascimento · Last 5

Upcoming
Mitch Raposo
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Carlos HernandezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

News & Media

Jafel Filho · Allan Nascimento
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