METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Las Vegas, USA
31 May 2025
Flyweight
VS
48%
Filho
52%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Allan NascimentowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jafel Filho · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nascimento
→
Actual result
Nascimento wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Filho at 48% vs Nascimento at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Filho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FilhoNascimento
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Filho
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Filho
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
62.4
52.4
Performance Avg
49.7
54
Quality of Victory
38
46
Momentum Score
100
Filho
Nascimento
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
5.5
1.0
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Filho
Nascimento
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Filho
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Filho
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Filho
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Filho
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
FilhoNascimento
Strike Zones
Filho
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Filho targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (50% of attacks) — Filho absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Filho
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
Filho · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Clayton CarpenterSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Allan NascimentoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ode OsbourneSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Sub · R1
Daniel BarezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Nascimento · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Carlos HernandezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05