UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Lightweight
VS
46%
Lauzon
54%
Gruetzemacher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
CG
Chris Gruetzemacher
"Gritz"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gruetzemacher

This is a genuine toss-up — Lauzon at 46% vs Gruetzemacher at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Gruetzemacher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gruetzemacher has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
21.1
51.5
Performance Avg
38.1
49
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
41
Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
47
1
Body
26
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance39
4Clinch36
0Ground0
Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
41
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lauzon
Gruetzemacher
Striking4.4 / 4.2Volume2.2 / 6.2Grappling4.0 / 1.6Wrestling2.8 / 1.1Submission4.7 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Lauzon
Strike Zones
Gruetzemacher
Lauzon
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
47HEAD26BODY2LEGS75 absorbed
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
47HEAD26BODY2LEGS75 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (92% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (63% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lauzon
RND
Gruetzemacher
0/0R00/0

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Gruetzemacher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.8L4.0L5.2W2.4L5.3W4.9L2015-122017-122020-102021-12
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Gruetzemacher · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi RamosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

News & Media

Joe Lauzon · Chris Gruetzemacher
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