UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
Hollywood, USA
27 Jun 2015
Welterweight
VS
84%
Silva
16%
Gonzalez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Silva
Gonzalez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Gonzalez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
2.7
37.9
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Gonzalez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
1
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance5
2Clinch3
0Ground2
Silva
Gonzalez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Gonzalez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/14 fights
Silva
Gonzalez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Gonzalez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Gonzalez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SilvaGonzalez
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGonzalez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gonzalez absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Gonzalez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Gonzalez
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
Upcoming
Drew DoberUFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
Gonzalez · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06