UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Middleweight
VS
68%
Vettori
32%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vettori
Vettori holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Vettori has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vettori
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
32+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vettori
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
23.1
40.0
Performance Avg
48.2
31
Quality of Victory
47
84
Momentum Score
43
Vettori
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
3
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance12
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Vettori
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Vettori
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vettori
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vettori
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
VettoriSanchez
Strike Zones
Vettori
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vettori targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vettori
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
Vettori · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Vettori · Last 5
Upcoming
Ismail NaurdievUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
