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UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
65%
Stephens
35%
Magomedsharipov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Jeremy
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
29 – 23
5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs7-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
ZM
Zabit Magomedsharipov
18 – 1
Well-Rounded6-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 24
β˜… Official Result
Zabit MagomedsharipovwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Jeremy Stephens Β· UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
β†’
Actual result
Magomedsharipov wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Stephens holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings β€” but Magomedsharipov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Magomedsharipov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StephensMagomedsharipov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
24.2
41.1
Performance Avg
61.9
40
Quality of Victory
37
76
Momentum Score
100
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
19
7
Body
4
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance27
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
76
100
7-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
6-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Striking5.5 / 2.0Volume4.6 / 6.0Grappling1.1 / 5.2Wrestling0.8 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Stephens
Strike Zones
Magomedsharipov
Stephens
Attacking
15HEAD7BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD4BODY5LEGS28 absorbed
Magomedsharipov
Attacking
19HEAD4BODY5LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD7BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stephens targets the head (60% of attacks) β€” Magomedsharipov absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Magomedsharipov targets the head (68% of attacks) β€” Stephens absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Stephens
RND
Magomedsharipov
0/0R00/0

Stephens Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.7W2.8L5.5L4.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W6.0L6.9L5.5W6.6L4.5W5.5L6.3L4.5W6.9W5.2W2.0L5.5L7.1L3.2L2.6L6.5L2.2L2007-052010-092014-062018-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Magomedsharipov Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W2017-092017-112018-042018-092019-032019-11
WinLossTrend

Stephens Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
King GreenRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Β· 2025-05
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises Β· 2021-07
L Β· KO Β· R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman Β· 2019-10

Magomedsharipov Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar Β· 2019-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jeremy StephensRating 5
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Β· 2019-03
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Brandon DavisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till Β· 2018-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Kyle BochniakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta Β· 2018-04
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Sheymon MoraesRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum Β· 2017-11

News & Media

Jeremy Stephens Β· Zabit Magomedsharipov
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