UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
65%
Stephens
35%
Magomedsharipov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stephens
Stephens holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Magomedsharipov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magomedsharipov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
24.2
41.1
Performance Avg
61.9
40
Quality of Victory
37
76
Momentum Score
100
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
19
7
Body
4
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance27
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
100
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stephens
Magomedsharipov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
StephensMagomedsharipov
Strike Zones
Stephens
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedMagomedsharipov
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stephens targets the head (60% of attacks) — Magomedsharipov absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Magomedsharipov targets the head (68% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stephens
RND
Magomedsharipov
0/0R00/0
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Magomedsharipov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
Magomedsharipov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 5Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Brandon DavisRating 5.2Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle BochniakRating 4.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Sub · R3
Sheymon MoraesRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
