UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Krakow, Poland
11 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
47%
Fabinski
53%
McLellan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BF
Bartosz Fabinski
"The Butcher"
15 – 5
6'0"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
GM
Garreth McLellan
"Soldier Boy"
13 – 6
Knockout Artist3-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McLellan

This is a genuine toss-up — Fabinski at 47% vs McLellan at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

McLellan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: McLellan throws more volume but Fabinski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Fabinski's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McLellan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Fabinski
McLellan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
72"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fabinski
McLellan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.6
14.3
35.0
Performance Avg
38.0
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
20
Fabinski
McLellan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
70%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
7
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance0
16Clinch3
0Ground0
Fabinski
McLellan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fabinski
McLellan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Fabinski
McLellan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fabinski
McLellan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fabinski
McLellan
Striking1.0 / 10.0Volume9.0 / 0.4Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Fabinski
Strike Zones
McLellan
Fabinski
Attacking
9HEAD7BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
McLellan
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD7BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fabinski targets the head (47% of attacks) — McLellan absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯McLellan targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Fabinski absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fabinski
RND
McLellan
0/0R00/0

Fabinski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L2.4L2.6L2015-042015-112018-072018-112020-092021-04
WinLossTrend

McLellan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L5.5W2.8L5.5L2.5L2015-042015-102016-052016-082017-03
WinLossTrend

Fabinski · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Hector UrbinaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11

McLellan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Paulo CostaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Magnus CedenbladRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · KO · R3
Bubba BushRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04

News & Media

Bartosz Fabinski · Garreth McLellan
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