★ Championship Bout · Road to 3 Strawweight Tournament Title
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
23 Nov 2024
Road to 3 Strawweight Tournament Title
VS
93%
Ming
7%
Xiaocan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:46
Shi
Shi Ming
176
5'2"60" reachOrthodox31 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Feng
Feng Xiaocan
"Little Flower"
114
Well-Rounded24 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'7"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ming

Ming is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 77 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ming has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 100 points.

Striking split: Ming throws more volume but Xiaocan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Ming
Xiaocan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'7"
60"
Reach
+67"
31
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ming
Xiaocan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
83.0
6.2
80.0
Performance Avg
0.0
100
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Ming
Xiaocan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Ming
Xiaocan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Ming
Xiaocan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
2/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/15 fights
Ming
Xiaocan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Ming
Xiaocan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ming
Xiaocan
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Ming
Strike Zones
Xiaocan
Ming
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Xiaocan
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ming targets the head (80% of attacks) — Xiaocan absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Xiaocan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ming absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ming
RND
Xiaocan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ming · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W5.5L2024-112025-08
WinLossTrend

Ming · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5
Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
W · KO · R3
Feng XiaocanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

Xiaocan · Last 1

L · KO · R3
Shi MingRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Shi Ming · Feng Xiaocan
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