★ Championship Bout · Road to 3 Strawweight Tournament Title
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
23 Nov 2024
Road to 3 Strawweight Tournament Title
VS
93%
Ming
7%
Xiaocan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ming
Ming is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 77 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ming has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 100 points.
Striking split: Ming throws more volume but Xiaocan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Ming
Xiaocan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'7"
60"
Reach
+67"
31
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ming
Xiaocan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
83.0
6.2
80.0
Performance Avg
0.0
100
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Ming
Xiaocan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Ming
Xiaocan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Ming
Xiaocan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/15 fights
Ming
Xiaocan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Ming
Xiaocan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ming
Xiaocan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MingXiaocan
Strike Zones
Ming
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedXiaocan
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ming targets the head (80% of attacks) — Xiaocan absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Xiaocan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ming absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ming
RND
Xiaocan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ming · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Ming · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
W · KO · R3
Feng XiaocanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Xiaocan · Last 1
L · KO · R3
Shi MingRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

