METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
85%
Nijem
15%
Downes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ramsey NijemwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Downes · UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nijem
→
Actual result
Nijem wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nijem is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nijem has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Risk flags
Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NijemDownes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nijem
Downes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Downes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
2.7
43.4
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Nijem
Downes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.8
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch0
12Ground0
Nijem
Downes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nijem
Downes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Nijem
Downes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nijem
Downes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nijem
Downes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NijemDownes
Strike Zones
Nijem
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedDownes
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nijem targets the head (100% of attacks) — Downes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nijem
RND
Downes
0/0R00/0
Nijem · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookDecision
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W · KO · R1
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
James VickSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
Downes · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemDecision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06