UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
85%
Nijem
15%
Downes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RN
Ramsey Nijem
9 – 6
5'11"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
DD
Danny Downes
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nijem

Nijem is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nijem has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Nijem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nijem
Downes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Downes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
2.7
43.4
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Nijem
Downes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
21%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch0
12Ground0
Nijem
Downes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nijem
Downes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Nijem
Downes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nijem
Downes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nijem
Downes
Striking5.0 / 0.0Volume5.8 / 0.0Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nijem
Strike Zones
Downes
Nijem
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Downes
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nijem targets the head (100% of attacks) — Downes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nijem
RND
Downes
0/0R00/0

Nijem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0102.0L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W6.0W3.8L5.5L2011-062012-122014-012015-07
WinLossTrend

Downes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.0L5.5L2011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Nijem · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
James VickRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08

Downes · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06

News & Media

Ramsey Nijem · Danny Downes
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