UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Jardine
58%
Griffin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:41
KJ
Keith Jardine
"The Dean of Mean"
17 – 11
6'2"76" reachOrthodox50 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
FG
Forrest Griffin
19 – 7
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

This is a genuine toss-up — Jardine at 42% vs Griffin at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Jardine connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jardine's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jardine
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jardine
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
18.2
40.0
Performance Avg
52.0
36
Quality of Victory
42
48
Momentum Score
82
Jardine
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
8
2
Body
0
6
Leg
9
RangeRange
24Distance16
4Clinch1
8Ground0
Jardine
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jardine
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Jardine
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Jardine
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jardine
Griffin
Striking4.3 / 2.3Volume6.3 / 6.9Grappling1.6 / 3.3Wrestling1.1 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.7 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Jardine
Strike Zones
Griffin
Jardine
Attacking
28HEAD2BODY6LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY9LEGS17 absorbed
Griffin
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY9LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD2BODY6LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jardine targets the head (78% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jardine
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0

Jardine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L4.0L5.5L2005-112006-122008-102010-06
WinLossTrend

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W2005-042006-082008-072011-022012-07
WinLossTrend

Jardine · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

Griffin · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

News & Media

Keith Jardine · Forrest Griffin
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