METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
59%
Noke
41%
Nakamura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Keita NakamurawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:59
def. Kyle Noke · UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Noke
→
Actual result
Nakamura wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Noke at 59% vs Nakamura at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NokeNakamura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Noke
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
73"
46
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Noke
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
13.7
50.4
Performance Avg
36.2
51
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
26
Noke
Nakamura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
4.6
2.3
Style: Volume
4.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
20
3
Body
4
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance16
2Clinch1
1Ground9
Noke
Nakamura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Noke
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Noke
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Noke
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Noke
Nakamura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
NokeNakamura
Strike Zones
Noke
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedNakamura
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Nakamura targets the head (77% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Noke
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Noke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaKO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbDecision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
Nakamura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Salim TouahriDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10