METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Columbus, USA
26 Mar 2022
Women's Bantamweight
VS
39%
McMann
61%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sara McMannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Karol Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
→
Actual result
McMann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but McMann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McMann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
45
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
44.5
44.1
Performance Avg
39.6
38
Quality of Victory
25
92
Momentum Score
65
McMann
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
1.9
5.7
Style: Volume
9.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
0
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
5Clinch6
4Ground3
McMann
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
McMann
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
65
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McMann
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
McMannRosa
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedRosa
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (92% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaSubmission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraSubmission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12