UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Columbus, USA
26 Mar 2022
Women's Bantamweight
VS
37%
McMann
63%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SM
Sara McMann
136
5'6"66" reachOrthodox45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Karol
Karol Rosa
197
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but McMann has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McMann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McMann
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
45
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
48.8
44.1
Performance Avg
41.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
92
Momentum Score
80
McMann
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
0
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
5Clinch6
4Ground3
McMann
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
McMann
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
80
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McMann
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McMann
Rosa
Striking2.5 / 1.3Volume5.7 / 9.3Grappling3.7 / 2.4Wrestling2.6 / 1.7Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
McMann
Strike Zones
Rosa
McMann
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Rosa
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (92% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McMann
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0

McMann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L5.3W6.4L2.7L4.5W5.2W5.0W3.1L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W2013-042015-082017-092022-03
WinLossTrend

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

McMann · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Sara McMann · Karol Rosa
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