UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Lewis
42%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lewis at 58% vs Tuivasa at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Tuivasa throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lewis
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lewis
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
43.2
57.5
Performance Avg
50.4
53
Quality of Victory
54
84
Momentum Score
20
Lewis
Tuivasa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
55%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.6
16 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance5
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Lewis
Tuivasa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
18/25 fights
Lewis
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
20
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Lewis
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
88%
16
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Tuivasa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
LewisTuivasa
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTuivasa
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (91% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Tuivasa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Tuivasa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

