UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Lightweight
VS
95%
Miller
5%
Healy
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Healy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller
Healy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Healy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
2.2
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Healy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch4
0Ground3
Miller
Healy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Healy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
6/57 fights
Miller
Healy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Miller
Healy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Healy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerHealy
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedHealy
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Healy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Healy targets the head (88% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Healy
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Healy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Healy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
Upcoming
Jim MillerUFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04