UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2006
Heavyweight
VS
91%
Buentello
9%
Aldana
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:27
PB
CFR 22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buentello
Buentello is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buentello has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Striking split: Buentello throws more volume but Aldana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Buentello's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buentello
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
52
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buentello
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
2.1
53.8
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Buentello
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
63%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
4
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
9Clinch2
6Ground0
Buentello
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buentello
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/52 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Buentello
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · R1
L · KO · R2
Buentello
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buentello
Aldana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BuentelloAldana
Strike Zones
Buentello
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAldana
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buentello targets the head (59% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (75% of attacks) — Buentello absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buentello
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0
Buentello · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Aldana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Buentello · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cheick KongoRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5Decision
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
W · KO · R2
Gilbert AldanaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin JordanRating 5Submission
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
Aldana · Last 2
L · R1
Cheick KongoRating 4UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
L · KO · R2
Paul BuentelloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02