UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Welterweight
VS
53%
Lytle
47%
Bradley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lytle
This is a genuine toss-up — Lytle at 53% vs Bradley at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bradley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Lytle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bradley has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lytle
Bradley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
51
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Bradley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
16.4
46.2
Performance Avg
46.0
44
Quality of Victory
60
56
Momentum Score
22
Lytle
Bradley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Lytle
Bradley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lytle
Bradley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
4/31 fights
Lytle
Bradley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
22
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Lytle
Bradley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lytle
Bradley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
LytleBradley
Strike Zones
Lytle
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBradley
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (92% of attacks) — Bradley absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lytle
RND
Bradley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lytle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Bradley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Bradley · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
W · KO · R1
Phillipe NoverRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02