UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Featherweight
VS
77%
Jung
23%
Garcia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jung
Jung is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jung has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Jung has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jung's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jung
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
68"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jung
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
13.7
57.1
Performance Avg
32.6
56
Quality of Victory
40
78
Momentum Score
39
Jung
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
21%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
2
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance4
0Clinch2
3Ground0
Jung
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jung
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/31 fights
Jung
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Jung
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jung
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
JungGarcia
Strike Zones
Jung
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jung targets the head (77% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jung
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Jung · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Jung · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R5
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03