METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Featherweight
VS
96%
Jourdain
4%
Rojo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:31
★ Official Result
Charles JourdainwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:31
def. Marcelo Rojo · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jourdain
→
Actual result
Jourdain wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jourdain is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jourdain has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rojo has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JourdainRojo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jourdain
Rojo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
30+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jourdain
Rojo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
1.9
48.6
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Jourdain
Rojo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.8
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
4
6
Body
3
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance9
5Clinch3
19Ground0
Jourdain
Rojo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Rojo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Jourdain
Rojo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Jourdain
Rojo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Rojo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JourdainRojo
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRojo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (86% of attacks) — Rojo absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Rojo targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Rojo
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Jourdain · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03