UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Featherweight
VS
95%
Jourdain
5%
Rojo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jourdain
Jourdain is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jourdain has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rojo has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jourdain
Rojo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
30+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jourdain
Rojo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
2.6
48.6
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Jourdain
Rojo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
4
6
Body
3
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance9
5Clinch3
19Ground0
Jourdain
Rojo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Rojo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Jourdain
Rojo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Jourdain
Rojo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Rojo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JourdainRojo
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRojo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (86% of attacks) — Rojo absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Rojo targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Rojo
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Rojo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Victor HenryRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Rojo · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Francis MarshallRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 4.7Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Charles JourdainRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03