METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Welterweight
VS
36%
Petz
64%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel RobertswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Forrest Petz · UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Roberts wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Petz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Petz's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetzRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petz
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
50
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Petz
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
17.0
26.4
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
44
30
Momentum Score
49
Petz
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.9
Style: Pressure
6.0
8.6
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Petz
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petz
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Petz
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Petz
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petz
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
PetzRoberts
Strike Zones
Petz
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petz targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petz
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Petz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brian FosterKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsDecision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanDecision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Kuniyoshi HironakaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanDecision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickDecision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoSubmission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10