UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Vera
52%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
This is a genuine toss-up — Vera at 48% vs Figueiredo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Vera throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Figueiredo has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vera
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Vera
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.4
56.4
50.4
Performance Avg
57.9
46
Quality of Victory
50
39
Momentum Score
55
Vera
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
9
Body
8
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance21
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Vera
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vera
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/35 fights
Chin rating based on
22/31 fights
Vera
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
55
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Vera
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
57%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vera
Figueiredo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
VeraFigueiredo
Strike Zones
Vera
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedFigueiredo
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (46% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (52% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vera
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Vera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

