UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
18 Jul 2020
Catch Weight
VS
82%
Dawson
18%
Narimani
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dawson
Dawson is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dawson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Narimani throws more volume but Dawson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dawson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dawson
Narimani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Dawson
Narimani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.1
13.6
57.5
Performance Avg
35.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
56
Dawson
Narimani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
13
3
Body
10
13
Leg
1
RangeRange
33Distance22
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Dawson
Narimani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dawson
Narimani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Dawson
Narimani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Dawson
Narimani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawson
Narimani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
DawsonNarimani
Strike Zones
Dawson
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedNarimani
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawson targets the head (52% of attacks) — Narimani absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Narimani targets the head (54% of attacks) — Dawson absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawson
RND
Narimani
0/0R00/0
Dawson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Narimani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Dawson · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1Submission
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