UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
Tulsa, USA
23 Aug 2014
Welterweight
VS
90%
Saunders
10%
Heatherly
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Saunders
Saunders is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saunders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Striking split: Heatherly throws more volume but Saunders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Saunders's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Heatherly has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Saunders
Heatherly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
77"
Reach
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saunders
Heatherly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
1.8
46.4
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Saunders
Heatherly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Saunders
Heatherly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saunders
Heatherly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.9 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/35 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Saunders
Heatherly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Saunders
Heatherly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saunders
Heatherly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SaundersHeatherly
Strike Zones
Saunders
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHeatherly
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saunders targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Heatherly absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Heatherly targets the body (75% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saunders
RND
Heatherly
0/0R00/0
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Heatherly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
Heatherly · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Augusto MontanoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
L · Sub · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08