UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Lightweight
VS
24%
Powell
76%
Klose
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Klose
Klose is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Powell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Klose has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Klose has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Powell
Klose
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Powell
Klose
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
56.0
46.0
Performance Avg
49.7
60
Quality of Victory
32
22
Momentum Score
99
Powell
Klose
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
1
Body
8
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance18
1Clinch7
0Ground0
Powell
Klose
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Powell
Klose
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Powell
Klose
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
99
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Powell
Klose
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Powell
Klose
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
PowellKlose
Strike Zones
Powell
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedKlose
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Powell targets the head (57% of attacks) — Klose absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Klose targets the head (48% of attacks) — Powell absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Powell
RND
Klose
0/0R00/0
Powell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Klose · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Powell · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
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