METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
53%
Nijem
47%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ramsey NijemwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Edwards · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nijem
→
Actual result
Nijem wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nijem at 53% vs Edwards at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NijemEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nijem
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
12.9
43.4
Performance Avg
35.1
39
Quality of Victory
40
51
Momentum Score
26
Nijem
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.8
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
4
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
5Clinch5
2Ground1
Nijem
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nijem
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Nijem
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Nijem
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nijem
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
NijemEdwards
Strike Zones
Nijem
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nijem targets the head (75% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nijem absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nijem
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Nijem · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookDecision
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UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
James VickSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireDecision
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