METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
53%
Nijem
47%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RN
Ramsey Nijem
9 – 6
5'11"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JE
Justin Edwards
"Fast Eddy"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Ramsey NijemwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Edwards · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nijem
→
Actual result
Nijem wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Nijem at 53% vs Edwards at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nijem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NijemEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nijem
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
12.9
43.4
Performance Avg
35.1
39
Quality of Victory
40
51
Momentum Score
26
Nijem
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
4
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
5Clinch5
2Ground1
Nijem
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nijem
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Nijem
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Nijem
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nijem
Edwards
Striking5.0 / 0.6Volume5.8 / 4.6Grappling1.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.0 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.3 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Nijem
Strike Zones
Edwards
Nijem
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nijem targets the head (75% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nijem absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nijem
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0

Nijem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0102.0L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W6.0W3.8L5.5L2011-062012-122014-012015-07
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L4.0L2011-062011-112013-082015-06
WinLossTrend

Nijem · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
James VickRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

News & Media

Ramsey Nijem · Justin Edwards
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