METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
Louisville, USA
3 Mar 2011
Lightweight
VS
53%
Stevenson
47%
Castillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Danny CastillowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Stevenson · UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stevenson
→
Actual result
Castillo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 53% vs Castillo at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stevenson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Castillo has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StevensonCastillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stevenson
Castillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stevenson
Castillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
17.2
49.2
Performance Avg
40.6
49
Quality of Victory
34
86
Momentum Score
89
Stevenson
Castillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.5
4.0
Style: Volume
6.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
0
Body
8
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch4
0Ground12
Stevenson
Castillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stevenson
Castillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Stevenson
Castillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
89
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Stevenson
Castillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stevenson
Castillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
StevensonCastillo
Strike Zones
Stevenson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedCastillo
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Castillo targets the head (36% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stevenson
RND
Castillo
0/0R00/0
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigKO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosDecision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherKO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04