UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Washington, USA
7 Dec 2019
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Struve
57%
Rothwell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:57
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
6'11"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 21
BR
Ben Rothwell
39 – 14
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rothwell

This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 43% vs Rothwell at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rothwell has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Struve
Rothwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
78"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Rothwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
27.0
51.7
Performance Avg
49.7
50
Quality of Victory
48
98
Momentum Score
45
Struve
Rothwell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
31
12
Body
6
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance23
6Clinch11
0Ground5
Struve
Rothwell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Rothwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
17/53 fights
Struve
Rothwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Struve
Rothwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
78%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Struve
Rothwell
Striking4.9 / 5.5Volume2.3 / 2.8Grappling4.1 / 3.2Wrestling2.8 / 2.2Submission4.6 / 3.3Pressure7.5 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Struve
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Struve
Attacking
14HEAD12BODY4LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD6BODY2LEGS39 absorbed
Rothwell
Attacking
31HEAD6BODY2LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD12BODY4LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (47% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Rothwell targets the head (79% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Struve
RND
Rothwell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Rothwell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.2W5.5L5.5L6.2L5.2W5.1W5.9L6.3W2.1L2009-102013-082019-032021-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Rothwell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

News & Media

Stefan Struve · Ben Rothwell
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