METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A lightweight who has won all four of his recorded UFC fights and never been hurt meets a fifteen-fight veteran with a chin rating of fifty.
Chris Padilla is 4-0 in the fights this database has recorded, and none of them has been an accident. He knocked out Ismael Bonfim in 4:30 of the second in November 2025, outpointed Jai Herbert in March 2025, beat Rongzhu inside two rounds in September 2024 and submitted James Llontop in the first in April 2024. His composite of 70.9 leads this bout by nearly twenty-three points and his momentum r…
Padilla (17-6-1) has won all four of his recorded UFC fights, most recently stopping Ismael Bonfim in the second round in November 2025, with a decision over Jai Herbert and a first-round submission of James Llontop also on the ledger. He is 30, has a perfect 100.0 chin rating and a 100.0 momentum score, and has not fought in nine months.
Haqparast (18-6) was knocked out by Quillan Salkilld in 2:30 of the first round in October 2025, ending a four-fight run that included decisions over Esteban Ribovics and Jared Gordon and a first-round KO of Jamie Mullarkey. Fifteen recorded UFC fights at 31, and a chin rating that has fallen to 50.0.
A 100.0 chin rating against 50.0, ten months after Salkilld stopped Haqparast in 2:30
Haqparast's 7.73 volume against 4.00 — his only clear route is to bank rounds without being caught
Padilla holds 5.1cm of reach despite giving up 2.5cm in height
Haqparast has fifteen recorded UFC fights to Padilla's four; the experience gap runs the other way to the ratings
Padilla's 2.50 submission rating against a 0.00 — the mat is one-directional here
Haqparast has beaten a better class of lightweight than Padilla has faced, and quality-of-victory does not fully capture that
Padilla's 70.9 composite rests on four recorded fights; a southpaw with nearly eight volume is a shape he has not been tested against
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown