UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
17%
Rock
83%
Al-Selwady
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Shem
Shem Rock
12 – 3
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 8
Abdul-Kareem
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
"Pride of Palestine"
16 – 4
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Al-Selwady

Al-Selwady is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Al-Selwady has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Al-Selwady has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Rock
Al-Selwady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rock
Al-Selwady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.7
38.9
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
55
Rock
Al-Selwady
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
40%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
9
Body
6
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
18Distance22
1Clinch5
0Ground2
Rock
Al-Selwady
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rock
Al-Selwady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Rock
Al-Selwady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Rock
Al-Selwady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rock
Al-Selwady
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 9.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Rock
Strike Zones
Al-Selwady
Rock
Attacking
9HEAD9BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD6BODY5LEGS29 absorbed
Al-Selwady
Attacking
18HEAD6BODY5LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD9BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rock targets the head (47% of attacks) — Al-Selwady absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Al-Selwady targets the head (62% of attacks) — Rock absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rock
RND
Al-Selwady
0/0R00/0

Rock · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0106.8L5.7L2025-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Al-Selwady · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5L4.5W2024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Rock · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

Al-Selwady · Last 2

W · Dec · R3
Shem RockRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Loik RadzhabovRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Shem Rock · Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
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