METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
17%
Rock
83%
Al-Selwady
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Shem Rock · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Al-Selwady
→
Actual result
Al-Selwady wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Al-Selwady is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Al-Selwady has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Al-Selwady has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RockAl-Selwady
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rock
Al-Selwady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rock
Al-Selwady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.7
38.9
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
55
Rock
Al-Selwady
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.2
40%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
9
Body
6
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
18Distance22
1Clinch5
0Ground2
Rock
Al-Selwady
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rock
Al-Selwady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Rock
Al-Selwady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Rock
Al-Selwady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rock
Al-Selwady
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
RockAl-Selwady
Strike Zones
Rock
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedAl-Selwady
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rock targets the head (47% of attacks) — Al-Selwady absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Al-Selwady targets the head (62% of attacks) — Rock absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rock
RND
Al-Selwady
0/0R00/0
Rock · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.3WinLossTrend
Al-Selwady · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rock · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
Al-Selwady · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Shem RockRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Loik RadzhabovRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03